Light vehicle output has kept pace with the accelerated sales tally. The first quarter of 2000 is forecast to outstrip 1999’s record performance by 4.5%, notching the sixth straight quarter of record output. Light truck offerings will eclipse passenger cars, reaching 52% this quarter, a figure mirrored for the entire year.
Following its competitors, GM is allotting more capacity to light trucks (out producing cars in the first quarter) and is utilizing all tools necessary to drive greater output in this sector. Full-size pickup and SUV offerings are slated to reach 1.42 million units in 2000 at GM, accounting for 55% of GM’s total light truck output. This year marks the end of the GMT400 and 420/425 series of pickups and SUVs. On the car side, a competitive market is expected to take its toll as the new GM2902 (Saturn LS) is dropped well below GM’s expectations to 150,000 units in 2000, equating to 66% of production capacity at GM-Wilmington. Other car programs forecast for lower volumes include GMX130 (-6%), P90 (-20%) and J2-car (-15%).
Ford is rebounding in the passenger car department. Strong launches of the new C170 Focus, D186 Taurus/Sable, and DEW98 LS will carryover into 2000 as volume is slated to decline only 4% from 1999. This despite the shift of Ford-Kansas City to U204 small SUV output by May 2000. On the whole, the launches of the new U152 Explorer/Mountaineer tandem combined with competitive pressures affecting various aging entries equate to stable light truck output year over year.
DaimlerChrysler is undergoing a transitional year wherein 25% of its volume is affected by product changeover: the RS minivan and JR sedans/cabrio. Noting the launches and difficulties with the NPL Neon, volume is forecast to dip 5% versus 1999. On the brighter side, capacity will be constrained for the PT44 Cruiser, raising the expectation that output may be added to DCX-Belvidere over the next two years.
Overall, New Domestic volume is forecast to expand 6% in 2000 on the heels of strong demand for various Toyota entries and Nissan’s Xterra SUV (WQW). In Mexico, VW is slated to expand its export reach for the New Beetle/Jetta (PQ34) to drive its tally above 1999. Honda continues to add North American output with the Odyssey and new Acura CL coupe.
| General Motors | 1Q-00 | 2Q-00 | 2000CY | 1999CY | Y/Y% |
| Passenger Car (000’s) | |||||
| C5 (Corvette) | 9.1 | 8.6 | 32.8 | 33 | -1% |
| CF4 (Camaro/Firebird) | 17.9 | 16.8 | 64.4 | 81 | -21% |
| G/G-Prem (Luxury FWD Sedans) | 52.7 | 54.6 | 196.1 | 140 | 41% |
| GM2902 (Saturn LS) | 33.8 | 43.2 | 150.7 | 61 | 147% |
| GM4200 (Corsa) | 22.3 | 22.0 | 85.0 | 85 | -1% |
| GMX130 (Grand Am/Alero) | 105.5 | 103.6 | 384.1 | 408 | -6% |
| GMX690 (Aurora/LeSabre/Bonn) | 63.3 | 69.2 | 255.6 | 140 | 82% |
| J2-Car (Cavalier/Sunfire) | 112.3 | 106.3 | 411.4 | 482 | -15% |
| K/K-Spec (Eldo/Deville) | 0.9 | 4.6 | 14.8 | 77 | -81% |
| MS2000 (Cent/Reg/GP/Intrig) | 191.3 | 176.0 | 674.7 | 669 | 1% |
| P90 (Malibu) | 61.1 | 57.5 | 218.2 | 272 | -20% |
| W2-Car (Lumina) | 9.0 | 5.7 | 25.2 | 119 | -79% |
| Z2-Car (SC/SL/SW) | 36.2 | 61.2 | 204.2 | 238 | -14% |
| Other | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 67 | -100% |
| Total-Passenger Car | 716 | 729 | 2,717 | 2,874 | -5% |
| Light Truck (000’s) | |||||
| GMT250 (Aztek) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.4 | 0 | NA |
| GMT325 (S10/Sonoma) | 81.3 | 75.4 | 290.2 | 322 | -10% |
| GMT330 (Blazer/Jimmy/Bravada) | 105.0 | 96.5 | 347.0 | 395 | -12% |
| GMT400/480 (C-K/Sierra) | 43.3 | 38.8 | 82.5 | 178 | -54% |
| GMT410/20/25/30 (FS-SUV) | 21.7 | 19.3 | 41.0 | 378 | -89% |
| GMT600 (Express/Savana) | 43.2 | 38.2 | 140.4 | 173 | -19% |
| GMT800/880 (Silverado/Sierra) | 233.0 | 224.0 | 890.6 | 886 | 0% |
| GMT820/830 (FS-SUV) | 88.1 | 96.9 | 406.8 | 27 | NA |
| GMX110 (Venture/Silh/Montana) | 68.5 | 66.5 | 245.6 | 286 | -14% |
| M-Van (Astro/Safari) | 41.3 | 41.8 | 125.9 | 168 | -25% |
| Other | 1.7 | 1.7 | 6.4 | 6 | 13% |
| Total-Light Truck | 727 | 699 | 2,605 | 2,820 | -8% |
| Total All GM | 1,443 | 1,428 | 5,322 | 5,694 | -7% |
| Ford Motor | 1Q-00 | 2Q-00 | 2000CY | 1999CY | Y/Y% |
| Passenger Car (000’s) | |||||
| CDW27-162 (Contour/Mystique) | 22.8 | 6.7 | 38.3 | 173 | -78% |
| CT120 (Escort) | 24.9 | 22.5 | 75.3 | 243 | -69% |
| C170 (Focus) | 100.0 | 90.2 | 358.4 | 128 | 181% |
| D186 (Taurus/Sable) | 150.5 | 134.6 | 509.6 | 104 | NA |
| DEW98 (Lincoln LS) | 18.3 | 19.6 | 70.1 | 39 | 79% |
| EN53-114 (Crown Vic/Gr. Marq) | 66.5 | 60.5 | 237.1 | 268 | -11% |
| FN145 (Town Car) | 24.0 | 24.8 | 84.1 | 82 | 3% |
| FN74 (Continental) | 6.3 | 6.6 | 22.9 | 27 | -16% |
| SN95 (Mustang) | 50.7 | 46.8 | 171.8 | 191 | -10% |
| Other | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 385 | -100% |
| Total-Passenger Car | 464 | 412 | 1,568 | 1,640 | -4% |
| Light Truck (000’s) | |||||
| P131 (>8,500 F-Series) | 123.4 | 119.7 | 451.1 | 411 | 10% |
| PN105/106 (Ranger/B-Series) | 121.6 | 129.7 | 472.0 | 405 | 17% |
| PN96-102 (F-Series) | 162.5 | 156.3 | 593.4 | 594 | -0% |
| UN105-150 (Explorer/Mountr) | 130.1 | 107.8 | 284.9 | 559 | -49% |
| UN93/173 (Expedition/Navigator) | 81.0 | 76.3 | 290.9 | 299 | -3% |
| U204 (Escape/Tribute) | 0.1 | 15.6 | 116.5 | 0 | NA |
| VN127 (Econoline/Club Wagon) | 54.8 | 58.5 | 210.1 | 233 | -10% |
| VX149 (Villager/Quest) | 18.4 | 23.3 | 78.6 | 95 | -17% |
| WIN126 (Windstar) | 78.5 | 70.8 | 270.5 | 303 | -11% |
| Other | 0.0 | 0.0 | 121.1 | 0 | NA |
| Total-Light Truck | 770 | 758 | 2,889 | 2,900 | -0% |
| Total All Ford | 1,234 | 1,170 | 4,457 | 4,539 | -2% |
| Daimler Chrysler | 1Q-00 | 2Q-00 | 2000CY | 1999CY | Y/Y% |
| Passenger Car (000’s) | |||||
| JA (Cirrus/Stratus/Breeze) | 62.0 | 48.6 | 110.6 | 216 | -49% |
| JX27 (Sebring Conv) | 17.8 | 11.2 | 29.0 | 56 | -48% |
| NLH (Intr/Concd/LHS/300M) | 93.8 | 83.7 | 318.2 | 339 | -6% |
| NPL (Neon) | 57.9 | 57.9 | 217.6 | 232 | -6% |
| SR/PR (Viper/Prowler) | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 4 | 24% |
| Other | 0.0 | 0.0 | 69.4 | 16 | NA |
| Total-Passenger Car | 233 | 203 | 750 | 864 | -13% |
| Light Truck (000’s) | |||||
| AB (Ram Van) | 20.1 | 19.7 | 74.3 | 84 | -11% |
| AN (Dakota) | 59.7 | 53.1 | 186.4 | 172 | 9% |
| DN (Durango) | 64.6 | 54.1 | 210.2 | 217 | -3% |
| NS (Caravan/Voyager/T&C) | 174.6 | 137.3 | 365.1 | 634 | -42% |
| PT44 (Cruiser) | 8.6 | 34.1 | 131.8 | 0 | NA |
| T300 (Ram Pickup) | 124.9 | 118.3 | 459.5 | 486 | -5% |
| TJ (Wrangler) | 26.3 | 23.8 | 91.7 | 101 | -9% |
| WJ (Grand Cherokee) | 88.9 | 81.6 | 313.0 | 344 | -9% |
| W163 (M-Class) | 21.4 | 21.1 | 81.3 | 85 | -4% |
| XJ (Cherokee) | 52.9 | 44.7 | 173.3 | 186 | -7% |
| Other | 0.0 | 0.0 | 165.9 | 0 | NA |
| Total-Light Truck | 642 | 588 | 2,253 | 2,309 | -2% |
| Total All DaimlerChrysler | 875 | 791 | 3,003 | 3,172 | -5% |
| New Domestic | 1Q-00 | 2Q-00 | 2000CY | 1999CY | Y/Y% |
| Passenger Car by Manufacturer (000’s) | |||||
| Auto Alliance: | |||||
| J94A (626) | 20.1 | 22.1 | 80.5 | 85 | -6% |
| SW164 (Cougar) | 13.9 | 16.0 | 57.6 | 77 | -25% |
| BMW: E36-7 (Z3) | 11.1 | 11.8 | 44.9 | 48 | -6% |
| CAMI: M2-Car (Metro/Swift) | 10.4 | 8.8 | 35.8 | 36 | -1% |
| Honda: | |||||
| NE/IN/CO (Accord/TL/CL) | 125.3 | 129.2 | 494.5 | 459 | 8% |
| VC (Civic/EL) | 108.2 | 102.5 | 236.8 | 398 | -41% |
| Mitsubishi: | |||||
| FJ22 (Sebring/Avenger) | 6.6 | 7.5 | 14.1 | 40 | -65% |
| ST24 (Eclipse) | 18.4 | 20.6 | 67.6 | 32 | 109% |
| ST41 (Galant) | 17.8 | 15.8 | 61.5 | 62 | -1% |
| Nissan: | |||||
| ZQ (Altima) | 37.9 | 37.6 | 143.5 | 153 | -6% |
| HF (Sentra/200SX) | 16.8 | 0.0 | 16.8 | 91 | -82% |
| HS (Sentra) | 2.2 | 32.8 | 110.8 | 0 | NA |
| Sentra (Tsubame/Tsuru) | 22.2 | 17.9 | 73.9 | 71 | 4% |
| Subaru-Isuzu: 22C (Legacy) | |||||
| 66L (Legacy) | 29.5 | 29.3 | 113.0 | 59 | 91% |
| Toyota: | |||||
| 900T (Avalon) | 30.2 | 30.1 | 111.5 | 38 | 194% |
| 414T/700T (Camry/Solara) | 84.0 | 85.1 | 324.1 | 349 | -7% |
| 560T (Corolla/Prizm) | 89.0 | 89.5 | 338.8 | 359 | -6% |
| Volkswagen: | |||||
| A4 (Jetta/New Beetle) | 100.4 | 96.8 | 384.0 | 357 | 8% |
| Type 1 (Old Beetle) | 8.2 | 7.9 | 26.2 | 36 | -28% |
| Other | 4.7 | 4.5 | 201.7 | 128 | 58% |
| Total-Passenger Car | 757 | 766 | 2,938 | 2,879 | 2% |
| Light Truck by Manufacturer (000’s) | |||||
| BMW: X5 (E53) | 7.6 | 10.9 | 41.0 | 2 | NA |
| CAMI: J3/GMT190 (Track/Vitara) | 11.5 | 11.2 | 51.2 | 64 | -20% |
| Honda: BM (Odyssey) | 34.3 | 33.0 | 148.6 | 96 | 55% |
| Nissan: | |||||
| D21 (Hardbody) | 11.2 | 9.4 | 37.9 | 39 | -2% |
| WQW (Xterra) | 21.4 | 20.2 | 83.8 | 58 | 45% |
| QW (Frontier) | 26.6 | 27.9 | 106.0 | 99 | 7% |
| SIA: UCR145 (SUVs) | 23.6 | 24.6 | 92.6 | 99 | -7% |
| Toyota: | |||||
| 485T (Tacoma) | 36.1 | 37.1 | 144.6 | 153 | -6% |
| 477T (Sienna) | 33.8 | 32.6 | 123.5 | 121 | 2% |
| 800T (Tundra) | 27.0 | 31.2 | 111.4 | 56 | 98% |
| Other | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.5 | 0.0 | NA |
| Total-Light Truck | 233 | 238 | 951 | 787 | 21% |
| Total All New Dom. | 990 | 1,004 | 3,889 | 3,666 | 6% |
| TOTAL UNITED STATES, CANADA & MEXICO | |||||
| Total Passenger Car | 2,169 | 2,111 | 7,973 | 8,256 | -3.4% |
| Total Light Truck | 2,372 | 2,283 | 8,697 | 8,815 | -1.3% |
| Total Light Vehicle | 4,542 | 4,394 | 16,670 | 17,071 | -2.3% |