The whole trick here is to overcome this old Detroit myth that you cant
make money on small cars. You can make money on small cars, but they have to
be interesting small cars. If theyre commodity small cars, then basically
nobody wants them because theyre not aspirational. Look at the BMW Mini.
Its a small carat current exchange rates Im not sure that
theyre not losing money on itbut under normal circumstances, when
you look at what that car is selling for, it should be a very profitable car
because people want it, as opposed to being willing to take it. Thats
Bob Lutz talking. The vice chairman of Product Development for General Motors
and the chairman of GM North America. Clearly a guy who knows whats what.
The venue of the discussion is an interview at the 2004 North American International
Auto Show in Detroit. And his comments are in the context of whether GM can
profitably make low volumessay 20,000 per yearof vehicles based
on its newly developed Kappa small rear-wheel-drive architecture, which is the
basis of the Pontiac Solstice. Unquestionably, the Solstice roadster is a car
that people desire, not some sort of default mode of transportation. The
Solstice, Lutz said, by virtue of the very small investment and
good margins on the car, can be produced very profitably at 20,000 per year.
They wont make money the first year. But hes confident that even
with the low volumes they will recoup the investment. Thats certainly
not in keeping with what Id argue is not the Detroit myth,
but actually the long-standing Detroit belief system. Its
a town where economies of scale rule with an iron fistand forget the velvet
glove. Either youre making 250,000 of something or you find an engineering
partner who is willing to do the task for you. That no longer cuts it.
Theres something beyond just the issues of fast product development and
the notion of creating production modules in units of 10,000 to 20,000 units
at a time in Lutzs observations. Something that is more fundamental to
the continued existence of the U.S. auto industryand other industries
in this country, for that matter. Lutz noted that when you consider the materials
for a vehicle, the costs for a run-of-the-mill four-banger and the costs for
an apsirational roadster are probably about the same. The addition can be considered
intellectual capital. Or, put another way: Design smarts. When there is a significant
adding of cleverness, cleverness that is a consequence of thoroughly understanding
the nuances and the desires of the American market, when there is a willingness
to abandon old methodologies (Weve always done it this way around
here), then there can be success. Realizeas all too many unfortunate
people already have, people who are now unemployed or who are working jobs that
are providing but a fraction of the wages they once earnedthat when it
comes to commodities, fungible cookie-cutter products, chances are there isnt
a business case (as in a green-eyeshade-mortality-is-left-at-the-door calculation)
that can be made for making those things here. Mexico, maybe. China, certainly.
Oh, maybe there isnt a whole lot of that now. But just wait. And not that
long.
Successful manufacturing can only be predicated on superlative design and extraordinary
engineering. With Kappa, at least, GM gets it. If Detroit is to be regained,
Kappa thinking must permeate everyone in this town.
Kappa architecture.