Ambitious Japan. Thats what it says on the side of new bullet
trains that speed from Tokyo to Osaka. It is an optimistic and somewhat defiant
statement that could easily be borrowed by Aichi-based Denso Corp. Ambitious
Denso is a company that already holds worldwide number one product share
in 18 different automotive components, but plans to increase that to 25 by 2005.
It plans to maintain its leading position in HVAC unit production despite stiff
competition, while making big pushes into hybrid vehicle power systems and Intelligent
Transportation System (ITS) areas like navigation and telematics. To achieve
its ambitions the company is spending generously on R&D: $1.5 billion, or
a hefty 8% of total net sales in 2003 alone.
Big Changes in Air Con. The refrigerant R134a is expected to be phased out
of use within five or six years, which if you are Denso, the worlds largest
maker of automotive air conditioning units, is a very big deal. According to
to Hikaru Sugi, director of the thermal products division, Denso has been spending
a significant amount of R&D effort on perfecting units that can run on refrigerants
other than R134a. Right now, he says, the leading candidates are CO2 and R152a,
but CO2 seems to be getting the bulk of the attention since its potential greenhouse
gas emissions are far lower than other alternatives. But while going with CO2
systems may be better for the environment, it creates a lot of challenges for
cost-efficient mass production. At the simplest level, a CO2 unit requires an
additional heat exchanger which helps to bump up the cost to about 15% higher
than a conventional unit and adds 10% more weight. Also, since CO2 systems must
operate at much higher pressures than current units, the tiny passages through
which the gas moves must be formed with a precision far higher than that used
today, which means huge investments in new equipment. Sugi knows that despite
these challenges OEMs will not stand for any price or weight increases for CO2
air con, so Denso has set a goal to meet the same per unit production cost as
R134a (about $28), while simultaneously reducing system weight by 15% within
four years.
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| To increase
the accuracy and reduce the cost of identifying individual vehicles for
the purpose of initiatives like congestion pricing, Denso has developed
a tiny RF transmitter (upper left hand corner of the license plate) that
broadcasts vehicles' license numbers to roadside receivers. |
Apparently, this ambitious company is confident that it will achieve its goals
because they plan to have it in production by 2007-08, with an initial annual
production of 100,000 units, going to as many as 400,000 units in the second
year. And OEMs must be confident that Denso will achieve its targets, as Sugi
says there are five or six customers for the CO2 system.
SiC Chips. SiC is a key technology for reducing cost in vehicles,
says Dr. Yoshiki Ueno, head of Densos research labs, of silicon carbon-based
semiconductors. Theyve been working on them for over 10 years and expect
that the chips wont be market-ready for a few more years. But the work
continues because SiC is very well suited to the harsh environment of the automobile.
It can take higher sustained temperatures than silicon-only chips, while relying
on a much simpler chip cooling system. It has much lower switching losses and
on-state resistance which means its size can be trimmed down by two orders of
magnitude over traditional chips. (One example of this dramatic size reduction
is a SiC MOSFET that Denso is currently developing for release in 2008 which
can replace 13 13-mm chips with just one 10-mm unit.) Denso is targeting next
generation power inverters for hybrid vehicles as a key application for SiC
technology, and has a goal of reducing inverter size to 1/6 that of the current
model (i.e.: from 20 liters to 3.25 liters). The company expects to have the
new inverter ready for production around 2010assuming it overcomes cost
hurdles. In order to get the purity it needs for its chips, Denso currently
makes its own SiC wafers at the unsustainable cost of $2,000 for a 2-in. disc.
Emergent computing and seamless roaming. Denso executives see big growth ahead
for camera-based safety systems used for tasks like pedestrian recognition and
lane detection. To get a piece of this market, Denso is developing an advanced
software program that uses parallel-processing techniques modeled on the workings
of the human brain to analyze video images. Called emergent soft computing,
the software can extract meaning from images even when faced with complex backgrounds
and variations in brightness. It is currently effective at a distance of 50
m, though engineers plan to increase the range to 100 m soon.
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| Denso
has combined its expertise in navigation and electronic toll collection
to create an all-in-one unit that can both map your route and pay the
tolls along the way.
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Another software initiative meant less to enhance safety than to ease frustration
is a seamless roaming system that automatically switches between low-speed wireless
phone connections and high-speed wireless local area network (W-LAN) hot spots.
Denso engineers saw that as W-LAN hot spots continue to proliferate the desire
for vehicles to take advantage of their broadband capabilities without having
to disconnect and reconnect to lower-speed but more readily available standards
like CDMA2000. So they designed software that eliminates the current practice
of breaking and manually re-establishing wireless connections (which can take
up to one minute) with an automated switching system that can move smoothly
from source to source in the space of a second.
Navi, ETC. Denso wants to be the worldwide leader in navigation systems,
says Mitsuharu Kato, managing director, ITS Product division. And it already
has a good start as a leader in the Japanese market, which buys about 2.5 million
navigation units per year in a new car market of around 6 million. Denso projects
that navi installation rates will rise conservatively over the next few years
in Japan, but more than double in Europe to over 3 million units a year and
triple in the U.S. to 1.5 million annually by 2008. It is banking on its deep
experience in making navi systems (it has had units in Japan since the 1980s
and provided the first OEM navi unit in the U.S. for Lexus in 1997) to get to
Katos goal. Denso develops and manufactures its own navi ECU (which currently
packs the graphics power of a Sony Playstation) and has an ambitious program
of creating and enhancing detailed maps of key countries. (For example, Denso
began mapping China last year in preparation for strong growth in navi installation
there.)
Another competitive advantage for Denso when it comes to navi is a proprietary
location system called Mapcode that breaks down areas into increasingly
smaller numbered grids, each of which are assigned numeric values. Any location
in Japan can be found to within a few feet simply by inputting its 8 to 10-digit
code. Travel books in Japan are already starting to use Mapcode as a shorthand
to help tourists quickly find points of interest, and Denso has licensed the
technology to other makers, essentially creating an open standard.
Combining its experience with navi systems and its leading position in producing
Electronic Toll Collection (ETC) units, Denso has developed a single unit that
can map all of the toll booths on a given route, direct the driver to the proper
lane designated for ETC and then pay the toll. It also has developed a small
RF transmitter that can be mounted on a license plate and read by roadside sensors
for use in cities that have congestion pricing. The module transmits at 5.8
GHz and uses a low-consumption battery designed to last several years. Denso
thinks that as more cities are forced to charge to reduce congestion, this approach
will offer a lower cost alternative to the current system of photographing every
license plate that goes in and out of the congestion pricing area.
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Risky Business
"Co-dependent no more!" could be the rallying
cry for Denso Corp.'s president and CEO Koichi Fukaya. His company
has long been dependent on Toyota,whichcurrently accounts for about
half of its business, but he plans to lower that percentage by increasing
business with the Big Three and aggressively pursuing European makers
like Volkswagen. Fukaya's ambitious goal in Europe is to double sales
in the next five years. In China, Fukaya is hoping to match the explosive
growth of that market by expanding production of components including
HVAC units and alternators, while providing diesel fuel injection
systems for the burgeoning heavy-duty truck segment. Anticipating
big growth in high-tech electronics systems, he is transforming the
company's Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) division into a
major profit center by pushing for global preeminence in navigation
systems.
To make all of this happen Fukaya will have to spend
a lot of money and take a lot of chances. He says that converting
air con modules to run on CO2 alone willrequire "a huge global
investment" and that expanding common rail production is "very
risky" because of the high investment needed for precision manufacturing.
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