In announcing the latest in a seemingly endless series of
restructurings last week, GM Chairman Rick Wagoner held forth on
how quickly the automaker’s leadership team has responded to the
quickly changing dynamics of the U.S. automotive
landscape. This latest plan, he marveled, was developed a mere
six weeks after GM announced plans to shutter four truck plants
and put its HUMMER brand up for sale during its annual
shareholder meeting on June 5. But somehow the alleged alacrity
of these latest efforts escapes me: Why weren’t these latest
actions not part of the plan announced six weeks ago? More to
the point, why was GM so apparently ill prepared for what has
happened in the market?
GM CFO Fritz Henderson told reporters during the latest
“turnaround” announcement that the market began to decidedly
shift in April. Anyone with a subscription to the Wall Street
Journal or a TV with basic cable service (CNBC) or who needed
to put gas in their SUV saw the shift begin prior to
April, but let’s say that was the point of the shift. Higher
fuel prices and a markedly sagging U.S. economy are not
something the folks at GM’s headquarters can manipulate
themselves. But Wagoner and his team should not get a free pass
for failing their organization on one of the basic tenants of
business: disaster planning. What were they waiting for?
I will readily admit that I did not graduate from a
prestigious MBA program, but common sense demands any business to
have some sort of plan ready to be deployed in the case of things
like zooming gas prices and a collapsing housing market. GM, it
seems, had no such plan. Now, the employees and retirees who had
little to do with the decisions made on the product side of the
business—which drives revenue—will pay the price—a more
significant price than that being paid by Wagoner, Lutz and the
rest of the senior executive gang who will not get their annual
bonuses. Their decisions—like basing the business largely on
pickups and SUVs—have proven to be exceedingly bad. And so they
miss out on a bonus. Big deal.
GM has been living in a la-la land for too long. It’s not
like crude oil prices haven’t been creeping up for the past seven
years—a barrel of crude sold for an inflation-adjusted average of
$32 in 2003, $55 in 2005, $66 in 2007 and is running at $98
through the first half of 2008. Instead of watching what was
actually happening on the commodities markets, GM product czar
Bob Lutz and his product development team continued to develop
products like the Camaro and the G8—great idea now, eh?—and large
crossovers that do little to help reduce fuel consumption. The
newest small car that’s going to save GM—the Chevrolet Cruze—will
not arrive until 2010, along with a slew of other products that
will be too little too late. Most disconcerting is the fact that
GM’s new microcar—the Chevrolet Beat—will not make it to the U.S.
because it was not engineered to meet U.S. crash standards
(that’s likely to change with the second-generation, which
arrives sometime after 2013).
The facts are simple: Wagoner and his team have overseen the
largest market share decline in GM’s history, failed to provide
the proper products necessary to keep GM relevant, and driven the
stock price to levels not seen since the Eisenhower
administration. When will GM’s board wake up? Maybe in another
six weeks.