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Is This (Finally) the Year of Bluetooth?
Until recently, Bluetooth has been more hype than substance. Now, it seems, conditions have aligned to make it a mass-production reality. But is this enough to make it a "must-have" on future vehicles?
Heres a marketers take on Bluetooth: its a revolutionary technology
that will allow people to wirelessly connect electronic devices to their cars
and do things like make hands-free calls without having to plug anything into
anything else. Heres an engineers take: its an open wireless
standard that uses low-power, short-range (about 35 ft.) radio signals at the
unlicensed 2.4 GHz frequency. It has a spread-spectrum, full-duplex signal that
hops frequencies at up to 1600 times/sec to reduce interference, and a data transfer
rate of about 1 Mbps. Now, heres the consumers take: Great, where
is it?
Talk of Bluetooth has been swirling around the automotive industry for several
years, but 2003 is the first year that the technology finally will see volume
application. For some that is late, but according to Jim Geschke, vice president
and general manager of electronics integration at Johnson Controls, Inc., This
is probably the year when Bluetooth is going to pop, and thats in line
with past projections of when we would see large-scale volumes. We are struggling
against the hype curve because marketing people created unrealistic
expectations that were way beyond reality, and when it didnt happen, expectations
fell below reality. Now Geschke is one of many who think the hype and
reality surrounding Bluetooth are about to meet.
What took so long? Marketing hype aside, there have been a lot of obstacles
to making Bluetooth ready for mass production, as well as for general acceptance
in the automotive industry.
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| Johnson Controls' BlueConnect module allows users with Bluetooth-enabled
phones to make hands-free calls from their vehicles via a sophisticated built-in voice recognition function. It is one of several Bluetooth systems that will enter the market this year, and could be the leading edge of a boom in automotive wireless technology application.
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- Bluetooth penetration in consumer electronics. Building Bluetooth capabilities
into vehicles is dependent on having enough Bluetooth-enabled devices in use
to take advantage of them. The wireless and cellular guys have been promising
for about two and a half years that Bluetooth would be out on the next generation
of their cell phones, says Dr. Robert W. Schumacher, business line executive
for Wireless and Mobile Multimedia at Delphi, but that didnt happen
until about six months ago. So, we have had a two year delay. But given
the fact that the technology is included in many newer phones, and that people
are upgrading to new phones about every eighteen months, market penetration
percentages should increase rapidly. Schumacher reckons that the penetration
needed to really drive Bluetooth demand in automotive should occur around 2005
or 2006.
- Setting universal standards. All operating and interface standards for
the technology are set by the Bluetooth Special Interest Group, which includes
most of the big name global electronics players. The strength of this approach
is that once standards are agreed upon compatibility problems are greatly reduced.
The weakness is that a whole lot of companies have to get together and agree
in the first place, and that takes time. It took much longer to standardize
software protocols and get profiles defined than was originally thought,
says Martin Thoone, global director of electronics product development for Visteon
Corp. In fact, some important protocols like those for voice recognition were
not fully defined and accepted until last year. But now that that work is largely
completed, quick progress is widely expected. Standards are magic. They
jumpstart industries, says Delphis Schumacher, When everybody
agrees to have the same interfaces, the development time and cost goes down;
an incentive is created for others to come in and develop new applications,
and the whole market takes off.
- Reducing hardware costs. Until recently the cost of the chipsets needed
to power Bluetooth functionality were not where systems integrators needed them
to be to make a strong business case. But chipmakers have stepped up silicon
integration and reduced the chipset costs to a third of their previous level.
And with production for the enormous cell phone market now coming on line (it
dwarfs automotive applications), costs should drop even further. Johnson Controls
Geschke sums it up, More and more functionality on one chip plus higher
volumes leads to low costs, and thats exactly what we are experiencing
now.
Another factor that is speeding adoption of Bluetooth is the maturation of
user-friendly application development software. Peter Wengert, marketing manager
of Microsoft Corp.s automotive business unit says, In the past,
system integrators had to build their own applications, adaptors and connections
on top of our platform. But on the latest version of Windows CE for Automotive
the adaptors for Bluetooth are built-in. Weve taken the headache of having
to develop the software and put it in the OS.
- Killer Apps Present and Future. The killer app for the initial wave of Bluetooth-enabled
vehicles is clearly hands-free phone capability. Research indicates that over
half of all cell phone minutes are used from vehicles, and legislation bans
using a handset while driving in a growing number of places. So a clear market
need has emerged. But, as often happens because of the long development cycles
needed for vehicles, aftermarket companies have moved into the void with inelegant
solutions. Current cradle systems only accommodate one kind of phone, are hard
to upgrade and require a physical docking station. But Bluetooth-based systems
can be utilized by any Bluetooth-enabled phone after a brief initialization
procedure that pairs the phone with the vehicle.
Visteon already has a Bluetooth system available as an option on European models
of the BMW X5, 3-Series and 5-Series, and according to Martin Thoone, has
a number of contracts coming up soon. Delphi will debut its module on
the Saab 9-3 this year. And Johnson Controls BlueConnect system will soon
be in production on an upcoming DaimlerChrysler vehicle, and eventually spread
across many DCX vehicle platforms.
There is no Bluetooth application on the horizon that quite stacks up to hands-free
phone capability, but one or two may achieve killer app status.
For example, once a cell phone or PDA is connected to the car it can bring in
real-time traffic information, store it in the cars flash memory and then
read it to the driver via text-to-speech. And if the phone has GPS capabilities,
it can provide turn-by-turn directionsin effect giving the vehicle a virtual
navigation system for a fraction of what a hard-wired unit would cost.
Speaking of cost, the question remains as to whether automakers will be willing
to incur the per vehicle cost it will take to install Bluetooth modules on a
large scale. Yet the consensus among the system integrators is that this is
a matter of when not if. Our experience is that if you have a value proposition
automakers understand they will find a way to get it in the vehicle, says
Geschke, At the end of the day they have to satisfy the customer and Bluetooth
definitely does that.
Whats In A Name
The name Bluetooth comes from the 10th century king Harold Bluetooth
who subdued warring factions and united the kingdom of Denmark. However, admittedly
perfunctory research shows that Harolds father, Gorm the Old, actually
united Denmark. Harold more or less consolidated his dads work. So why
the use of Bluetooth instead of Gorm? Probably because
saying youre from the Gorm Special Interest Group might receive the same
reaction as saying you are a plenipotentiary from the Klingon Empire. And where
would be the honor in that?
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