The story sounds a bit Hollywood. We started with the premise, What
if we were inventing the automobile today rather than a century ago? What might
we do differently? So recalls Rick Wagoner, president and CEO of General
Motors.
While it would be nice to think that the people at the top of the worlds
largest automobile manufacturing company are actually asking one another about
such lofty speculations, the story sounds just a bit too much like George Washington
and the cherry treesomething a bit too wooden.
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Pop on the top. The body isn't part of the structure. The structure is in the chassis.
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Regardless of that, the answer to the question is something that could (yes,
I am being deliberately tentative here, not wanting to go out on any limbs)
have profound effects on the state of automotive design, manufacture, retail,
service, financeyou name it.
The name of the result is AUTOnomy. Observes Larry Burns, GMs vice president
of Research and Development and Planning. This is not just an exercise.
We are serious about this.
How serious? Consider this: AUTOnomy is a concept car. Its
the sort of thing that gets rolled out on the stages of the worlds premier
auto shows so that the buying public can get a glimpse of their potential transportation
future. Generally, really good concept cars serve as models for much milder
production vehicles at some point. Sometimes, the concept cars actually have
mechanicals beneath their handcrafted skin. But they are fundamentally models.
AUTOnomy is more than your classic concept car, even though it had its debut
at the 2002 North American Inter-national Auto Show. GM is seeking 24 patents
related to the business models, technologies, and manufacturing processes for
AUTOnomy.
So maybe the story is a little stagy. Maybe the AUTOnomy seems like science
fiction. Maybe, just maybe, this really will be the future of transportation.
The New Art.
Sometimes people talk about cars as being like sculptures. Generally, theyre
thinking about the shape of the vehicle. But there is another way of thinking
about the vehiclecar or truckwith a sculptural analog: the internal
combustion engine is a huge block.
A fuel cell stack can be spread around the vehicle and can take any shape
you might imagine. It doesnt have to be bunched up like the cylinders
on an internal combustion engine, says Christopher Borroni-Bird, head
of GMs Design and Technology Fusion Group and program manager of AUTOnomy.
No block to design around.
Note the name of that group: Design and Technology Fusion. These are people
who are tasked with leveraging design and technology of finding beneficial strengths
between the two. Adrian Chernoff, AUTOnomy Program Architect (and former Disney
Imagineer), notes, This is about the creation of something that we havent
seen before.
Which is only partially true. We have seen something like it before. It is
a four-wheeled vehicle. It is a car or a truck.
When asked about that fundamental architecturethe four wheels, parallel
setsBurns acknowledges, Maybe we should have reinvented the automobile
around two wheels or three wheels. Hes thinking about the two-wheeled
Segway Human Transporter. The AUTOnomy has all-wheel-drive, all-wheel-steering,
and Silicon Valley-sized computer power. This could be thought about as
a four-wheeled Segway in terms of its maneuverability, Burns says.
He adds, Perhaps we didnt go far enough.
But where they are pointing is someplace that many people will have a tough
enough time wrapping their mindsand businessesaround. If the people
at GM are right, then this could be a whole new approach.
Wayne Cherry, GM vice president of Design, makes an important observation:
Theres no engine to see over. Each of the wheels has integrated
drive motors. Theres no limiting lump of iron and/or aluminum.
Whats more, the mechanical linkages that have been part and parcel of
every car built for the past 100 yearsas in the steering system and accel/decel
systemarent there, either. Theres no steering column to design
around. These mechanical linkages have given way to X-by-wire technology, technology
that GMs partner on the AUTOnomy, SKF (Göteborg, Sweden), has transitioned
from aircraft to automobiles.
Thatthe elimination of the block and the elimination of the linkagesin
large part, changes the art of the automobile. More than the block is missing.
Beyond Tony Hawk.
Fundamentally, the AUTOnomy is a skateboard, which Wayne Cherry describes as
having design integrity with or without the body. This skateboard
is approximately six-inches thick. It contains the fuel cell stack (i.e., that
which converts the hydrogen into electricity [with the byproducts of heat and
water]) as well as the tank that holds the hydrogen (a conformable tank of some
sort; Borroni-Bird notes that they will have to develop a different hydrogen
storage system than is presently available in order to achieve the kind of range
[~300 miles per fill-up] that they are seeking). The heat exchanger is designed
into the sides of the structure. The body attachments (four of them) are in
the skateboard, as is the universal docking connection, which is
the power communication port that connects the body system to the skateboard.
The docking station is where the X-by-wire connection is made. The skateboard
for the concept as introduced is 175.8-in. long and 74-in. wide; it has a 122-in.
wheelbase.
Back to the Future.
Although there is the future writ large with the AUTOnomy, although Burns claims,
AUTOnomy is not simply a new chapter in automotive history. It is volume
two, with the first hundred years of the automobile being number one,
there is one aspect of the vehicle that harkens back to an early day of the
auto industry, a day that many people would undoubtedly like to see regained.
The potential would exist for the re-creation of great body builders, like the
coachbuilders of days gone by.
Consider: the AUTOnomy is built such that the body can be readily replaced.
The analogy that Burns and his colleagues use when talking about attaching the
body onto the chassis is snapping a notebook computer into a docking station.
There are mechanical (bayonet mounts is one suggestion) and electrical connections.
All of the chassis produced would have the same configuration. (Burns suggests
that it would be possible to cover the entire range of passenger vehiclesfrom
small cars to truckswith three sizes of chassis: Today at GM we
cover the range with about 11 of them.) What goes on top can be changed
as requiredor desired.
The body doesnt have to play a role in the crashworthiness of the vehicle,
because that capability can be built right into the skateboard.
The initial body design that GM Design Staff created for AUTOnomy is a Jules
Verne-inspired two seater that shouts Tomorrow! like the narrator
of a space opera. Wayne Cherry notes, however, Next we might do a mobility
body that allows a wheelchair user to roll right into the driving position,
or a 10-seat transit bus. Weve even talked about a seating position that
puts the driver right up front, like a helicopter pilot.
Because of the X-by-wire technology, the steering system and the pdals can
be located wherever: left side or right or even middle; perhaps where what would
otherwise be considered the back seat.
There is discussion of the possibility of people leasing several bodies during
the life of the chassis, a life that is said to be longer than that of the average
car of today: Burns says it can be measured in decades (two of them), rather
than years.
Which brings up the possibility of mass customization made significantly easier:
the tough stuff (fuel cell stacks, storage, electrical connection, etc.) stays
the same, which facilitates achieving economies of scale in manufacturing, while
the bodies are modified to meet customer requirements. This could even mean
having giant skateboard factories and small local body shops. Global finally
meets local. (Burns likes to point out that 88% of the worlds population
dont have the access to personal transportation that the other 12% have
come to take for granted. Presumably, not even the brand-new segment-buster
designs that are emerging as concept vehicles right now can accommodate the
manifold needs that exist for that 88%.)
Leapfrog.
The critics cry out that there isnt the fuel cell technology right now
to make this happen. True. But Borroni-Bird says that progress is being made
by leaps and bounds in terms of gaining power density. And GMas
well as all of the worlds major automakersis investing serious time,
money and resources into developing fuel cell technology. (Borroni-Bird says
that theyll have an operating platform by the end of 2002.)
And think about the technologies through the years (typewriters, carburetors)
that couldnt be replaced, either.
Simpler.
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This is the autonomy skateboard. This the chassis for the vehicle that contains the fuel cell stack, hydrogen storage, and electronics for interface with the X-by-wire systems. There is no engine, as each wheel is fitted with an electric motor.
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One of the drivers that Burns thinks will propel the development of AUTOnomy
is simplicity: Think about the production facility for a fuel cell stack.
I can start with a 25-kW stack that can power your home. I can take four of
those, 100 kW, and drive something like AUTOnomy. I add a couple more and I
can get to a Suburban. Then I can take a couple more and get to 250-kW stack
for a bus, and four of those and do an Electromotive. So I am talking about
everything from 25- to 1,000-kW stacks all in the same manufacturing facility.
Today we have a separate line for four cylinders, six cylinders, eight. . .
. All youre doing is adding cells to get to the higher kilowatts.
And where is it even conceivable to make car and railroad engines under the
same roof?
Burns notes, perhaps somewhat more realistically, As weve tried
to make the internal combustion engine cleaner and more efficient, weve
had to add to it. It is becoming increasingly complex as compared to the engines
of 20 years ago. Which suggest that there has to be a limit at some point, and
for something simpler to come in under it.
He describes a fuel cell as being like a stack of pancakes. Which
is a whole lot simpler than an internal combustion engine.
Supplier Alert!
There is something cautionary about AUTOnomy for all automotive suppliers. Burns
points out: Right now, about half of the suppliers we work with on our
fuel cell program are not from the auto industry. Thats right now,
not at some point in a Jetsons future.
The competencies that are required to optimized electrochemical engines
are different than the ones weve developed on mechanical systems.
You can be the leanest supplier in the world, but if the technology shifts
. . .
Says Who?
In futurism, the favored rule is you can say what, or you can say
when, but not both at once.George Gilder
Maybe this is just show biz. Maybe.
But listen to Larry Burns:
Can I tell you emphatically that this will happen and do I know when
that will happen? No. But he goes on to describe himself as a technologist
by trade and an optimist about technology. And then he points out why
he is so optimistic about the possibility of realizing technical achievements
that might otherwise seem like folly: Ten years ago I was totally deaf
and today I can hear with a cochlear implant and do what I can do because somebody
in Australia in 1970 had the wild idea of planting a wire in someones
ear to see if it could stimulate the auditory nerve.
AUTOnomy doesnt seem so outlandish after all.